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Week 46, 2004
THE BEST SELLERS (last week's favorite articles):

B*) CNN/Global Office: Lunch lessons for the power-hungry [Conseils d'un nutritionniste pour mieux manger pour améliorer ses performances au travail.
1*) The Washington Post: A thumbs up or down for e-mail gladiator on the go? [Le Blackberry, dernier outil nomade à la mode dans les entreprises, vous rend-il esclaves du boulot ?]

3*) The Economist: Executive coaching [Le coaching, la nouvelle mode dans les entreprises.

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THE REGULARS: Summary

A) Le texte plus abordable de la semaine/Scholastic: Kerry Concedes [Kerry reconnaît sa défaite ; Bush fait des promesses.]
B) CNN/Global Office Management Masterclass: Inspirational management [Comment devenir un manager inspirationnel ?]
C) Slate/Dear Prudence: Sélection [Conseils sur la vie sentimentale et la vie tout court. Cette semaine : Mon petit ami "génial" lit Playboy. / Mon ex fait du chantage pour que je recouche. / Mon futur ex mari refuse de dire à ses parents que nous divorçons. / Ma future belle-mère me rend folle.]

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THIS WEEK'S TEXTS: Summary
1) Program on International Policy Attitudes: Bush supporters really ARE stupid [Une enquête démontre que les partisans de Bush sont ignorants, bêtes...
2) CNN: Stranger moves in, redecorates while woman's on vacation [Alors qu'une femme est en vacances, une inconnue squatte chez elle et refait même la déco.]
3) Slate: The New de Tocquevilles [Les Français tentent de comprendre les Etat-Unis.]
4) CNN/Reuters: U.S. tomato shortage hits restaurants [Les restos américains pâtissent d'un manque de tomates.]
5) The Economist: Mobile 3G telecoms [La réalité de la téléphonie mobile de la 3ème génération correspond-elle aux rêves ?]
6) St Petersburg [FL] Times: Arrest made in attack over cap [Les attributs des équipes sportives suscitent des réponses violentes. Comme quoi il n'y a pas que l'OM et la PSG...
7) Lucent: Bio of Pat Russo

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B*) CNN/Global Office: The new big idea? Think small ones [La nouvelle grande idée pour les entreprises ser trouvera peut être dans le cumul des petites idées des gens qui y travaillent.]
http://edition.cnn.com/2004/BUSINESS/10/19/ideas.schroeder/index.html
The new big idea? Think small ones

Tuesday, October 19, 2004 Posted: 1505 GMT (2305 HKT)

(CNN) -- Managers obsessed with the big picture are wasting opportunities to improve their businesses by failing to harness the creativity of their workers, according to two U.S. management experts. Instead of agonizing over arch concepts of management theory and the latest trends from the MBA classroom in search of a business breakthrough, they ought to be listening to their workforce, argue Dean Schroeder and Alan Robinson. Schroeder, professor of management and director of the MBA program at Valparaiso University, and University of Massachusetts professor Robinson, back up that claim in "Ideas are Free."

Based on visits to 150 organizations in 17 different countries, the book includes case studies of successful businesses from large textile companies to nursing homes, ranches and furniture stores. "It was something that I saw was so prevalent," Schroeder told CNN. "I used to do business turnarounds and you'd talk to management and they'd give you these reasons and excuses that wouldn't really be that useful. "You'd get down to the shop floor and they'd know far more than management would give them credit for. They knew the reasons why they were in trouble and a lot of solutions as well. Not big things but tons of little things."

Schroeder highlights last week's announcement by General Motors of 12,000 job cuts in Europe as an example of a situation in which the problem-solving potential of a workforce has been overlooked in favor of a short-term fix. "If they'd had everyone on the frontline helping them out and listening to those guys they wouldn't have got into that trouble in the first place," he says. "Management has a problem."

The main problem is that most managers don't understand how to get ideas out of their employees. "Management has the suits, they've got the education, they've got the corner office and they've got the big pay checks," says Schroeder. "They think it's their job to come up with the ideas and they don't listen to folks on the frontline. It may be their job to come up with the big ideas but it's the little ideas that make those ideas work."

Competitive advantage

As well as boosting productivity and engaging employees, one of the biggest benefits of small ideas is that they can give businesses a sustainable competitive advantage. While rivals can quickly assimilate big ideas, either directly or via consultants, small ideas are far more difficult to pick up and imitate.

Nor is there any such thing as a bad idea. "Bad ideas can actually be a positive and a lot of time people who come up with a bad idea will have identified a problem but not a good solution. So you sit down with them and work out a good solution. They learn, you learn, everyone benefits."

Having recognized the importance of workers' ideas, managers still have to harness that creative potential. But Schroeder and Robinson warn that traditional reward-based incentive schemes can backfire disastrously. "You can never figure out how much an idea is worth," warns Schroeder. "The best reward you can give somebody for their ideas is to put their ideas into play. "The reason people come up with ideas is that they want to solve a problem that would make their jobs easier or they want to help the company because they are a team player. They're not necessarily looking for a big bribe. They're just looking for management to listen to them. As soon as you get money involved it changes people's behavior."

The best way to tap into workers' ideas, suggest Schroeder and Robinson, is simply to ask. Whether formally at department meetings, when problems or complaints arise, or simply by inviting suggestions, managers need to keep channels of communication open from the top of a company to the bottom.

But if the job of coming up with ideas is farmed out to the workers, what then are managers for? Schroeder believes that such an approach would eventually change the nature of management for the better. "They don't have to spend so long fire-fighting and handling the details which means they can focus on bigger system changes," he says. "They can focus on more strategic level stuff and they can focus on making sure the system is in place to capture this continual flow of ideas and ensuring the bigger ideas get championed and spread around. So essentially their role changes from fire-fighting and control to managing an improvement process and looking strategically at the future."

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1*) The Washington Post: A thumbs up or down for e-mail gladiator on the go? [Le Blackberry, dernier outil nomade à la mode dans les entreprises, vous rend-il esclaves du boulot ?]
http://www.orlandosentinel.com/entertainment/orl-livnoescape08100804oct08,0,1529385.story?coll=orl-caltop
A thumbs up or down for e-mail gladiator on the go?
The BlackBerry has legions of followers, but others say it just extends the work empire.
By Yuki Noguchi
The Washington Post

October 8, 2004

Washington lawyer William Wilhelm knows from experience that not everybody loves his BlackBerry as much as he does. "I once had a date become apoplectic because we were in the airport terminal before vacation, and I did the one final BlackBerry check," Wilhelm said. The girlfriend was fed up with a relationship punctuated by Wilhelm fiddling with the wireless device to check hundreds of e-mails a day.

BlackBerrys, sometimes referred to as CrackBerrys among addicted adherents, make e-mail portable, available anytime and almost anywhere. For some, like Wilhelm, the pocket-size devices have created a borderless world of new opportunities for multitasking. BlackBerry -- and a growing number of cell phones like them that come with tiny keyboards -- have made it easier and more tempting than ever to sneak in work during personal time, and personal messaging at work.

But as instant e-mail devices accelerate the cadence of work life, there are increasing complaints that they whittle away at time that people once used to give undivided attention to family or co-workers, or to find solitude on the beach or during the daily commute.

E-mail on the go also has raised new questions of electronic etiquette. Most people have learned to shut off their portable phones or set them to vibrate silently during business meetings and social events. There's no such consensus yet on proper behavior for those who silently, relentlessly, punch out BlackBerry messages with their thumbs.

BlackBerry, introduced in 1999, is the most prominent example of a broader wireless e-mail phenomenon. About 1.6 million BlackBerrys are used in the United States, according to the maker, Research in Motion Ltd. of Ontario, Canada. In addition, there are more than 14 million "smart phones" -- mobile phones with keypads and Web browsers -- among the 169 million cell phones in use in the United States, according to Instat/MDR, a market research company.

Their proliferation seems to have a viral effect -- accelerating the general pace of business, compelling others to get things done even faster. "There's competitive pressure if you're not responsive to e-mail," said Wilhelm, who is a telecommunications lawyer. He acquired a BlackBerry early last year because his clients and colleagues -- all of whom had some type of wireless e-mail device -- began expecting immediate responses.

BlackBerrys also have changed the dynamic of many business meetings. In a Washington law office, attorney Chris Rhee often participates in meetings in a conference room walled with thick concrete slabs that block most wireless signals. Around him -- in the middle of meetings -- attorneys lean back and wave their BlackBerrys in the air, trying to catch a stray signal through the window.

The BlackBerry also has tethered some people closer to work. "You never know when you're not working, said Sherry Turkle, director of a project at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology that is studying technology and society. "You're losing time to quietly reflect."

Harkins Cunningham LLP handed out BlackBerrys to its lawyers this year. Now, senior partner David A. Bono said, his BlackBerry finds its way onto the dinner table in a restaurant, where he sneaks a peek at it when it flashes. "I just roll the wheel," he said, referring to the scrolling mechanism on the side that allows him to see who has sent a message. "I try to be very discreet about it and not look at it very much."

Some say they find it calming to keep continuous tabs on the office. "It's the perfect productivity tool for anxious professionals," Wilhelm said. Then he wondered out loud: "Does the BlackBerry make someone more neurotic, or does a neurotic person find that the BlackBerry comforts them?"

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3*) The Economist: Executive coaching [Le coaching, la nouvelle mode dans les entreprises.]

http://www.economist.com

Executive coaching: Corporate therapy
Nov 13th 2003

Having an executive coach is all the rage

IT ALL sounds alarmingly like the process of self-criticism that kept Chairman Mao's China on the ideological tracks. Your company hires an outsider to grill your boss, your staff and perhaps even your spouse on the shortcomings (and strengths) of your behaviour. The outsider confronts you with the findings and together you draw up a plan for self-improvement. Your boss and staff undertake to help you to keep to the plan. From time to time, the outsider returns to check on how you are doing.

Yet top executives as self-confident as eBay's Meg Whitman and Unilever's Niall Ferguson have undergone “executive coaching”. This week the International Coach Federation (ICF), the largest trade group, is meeting in Denver for its annual conference. Its global membership has soared from about 1,500 in 1999 to almost 7,000 today. The coaching market is now worth around $1 billion worldwide, a number that Harvard Business School expects to double in the next two years. “It's going crazy,” says Brian Edwards of Optima, a British coaching firm that has been in business for five years.

Coaching might seem an obvious second career for a former chief executive keen to profit from a little mentoring. Though a few coaches are ex-bosses, most have other skills, according to the ICF's recently completed first survey of members. Two-thirds are women, it finds; a substantial minority come from teaching or counselling backgrounds. Others are former mental-health workers. Jeremy Robinson, a coach from New York, began as a psychoanalyst and often counsels clients partly on their work problems and partly on those in their home lives. Many such workers are seeking fresh pastures as tighter government budgets and the trimming of the amounts which insurance firms spend on clinical psychology have taken a toll on their employment prospects, argues Edgar Schein, of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Sloan School.

Some coaches come to the office. But half, according to the ICF figures, do their coaching mainly by phone. Val Williams, an independent coach who was once an executive at a big health-care group, coaches a client in Finland by telephone every month, discussing what progress he has made in meeting the goals he set himself during their previous conversation.

Like personal physical trainers, some coaches work for individuals. Ms Williams reckons that a quarter of her clients pay their own bills. Five years ago, however, three-quarters did. Increasingly, firms are willing to pick up the tab.

Shrink or swim

Often, coaching is a way to give problem employees one last chance. Mr Schein says it is easier for managers to hire a coach than to give an unsatisfactory employee a bleak performance appraisal.

And yet such “derailment coaching” is not much fun for coaches either, and it rarely achieves much, so the coaching industry is increasingly trying to accentuate the positive, even urging companies to use their services as a perk to retain high-fliers. Judging by how some American executives brag at dinner parties about their hot new coach, this strategy has potential.

Rohm and Haas, a specialty chemical company, picks half a dozen promising executives a year to go through a programme grandly called Leadership 3000. They undergo a battery of psychoanalytic tests, listen to feedback (“we like to call it feed-forward,” says Joe Forish, the firm's head of human resources) which the coach collects from colleagues and subordinates, and agree an action plan that is discussed with the firm's top executives as well as with the person's immediate boss. “We make it clear that this is an investment in people's futures,” says Mr Forish. At a cost of $15,000-20,000 for up to a year of the coach's time, an investment it clearly is.

Most coaches are one-man bands or tiny firms. But a few big human-resources consultancies are moving in: Hewitt Associates has teamed up with Marshall Goldsmith, a celebrity in the coaching industry, who has coached top executives at Boeing, Motorola and General Electric, and more than 50 chief executives. Together, the two have a network of about 200 coaches, all using a proprietary method developed by Mr Goldsmith. This allows them to win big contracts, such as a recent deal with one multinational to coach 200 of its top staff. The two brands spell higher charges: typically $30,000-70,000, and much more for Mr Goldsmith's personal services. But the venture also submits its bill only if the client agrees, a year after the coaching, that certain agreed goals have been met.

What does coaching actually achieve? Rigorous analysis of so touchy-feely an activity is probably impossible. Karol Wasylyshyn, a coach based in Philadelphia, has asked her clients to rate the “sustainability” of what they learned on a scale of one to ten. Over a third rate it nine to ten, she says proudly. However, this may reflect the attitudes of clients as much as real achievement. It seems that high-fliers compete as hard to improve their behaviour as in anything else. “They don't think I'm perfect? I'm gonna prove to them I am,” mimics Marc Effron of Hewitt Associates.

Nevertheless, the perception of success may be as important as the reality. One reason why coaches strive to involve an executive's peers and boss at every stage is so that they, too, feel some responsibility for helping to bring about change. Not only does this reinforce a better approach; it may also persuade them that they are seeing the alteration they want to bring about.

The fact that the firm usually foots the bill for coaching has two big implications. First, says Mr Schein, it means that a lot of coaching is about “self-socialisation”: getting the individual to conform to patterns of behaviour acceptable to the firm.

Then there is the issue of privacy. “I always tell people they have limited confidentiality,” says Mr Robinson. Coaches may find themselves in an especially awkward situation if coaching persuades a client that the best way to develop his career is to quit the firm paying for the coach. Ms Wasylyshyn has formulated a way to tell the human-resources department that a high-flier she is coaching is restive, without breaching confidence. “I think you might lean in and do a reality check,” she will say, with delicate circumlocution.

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THE REGULARS

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A) Le texte plus abordable de la semaine/Scholastic: Kerry Concedes [Kerry reconnaît sa défaite ; Bush fait des promesses.]
http://teacher.scholastic.com/scholasticnews/indepth/election_countdown/news/index.asp?article=kerryheal
Kerry Says It's Time to Start the Healing
By Suzanne Freeman


Wednesday, November 3—The race for the White House is over. In a speech in historic Fanueil Hall in Boston, Massachusetts, Senator John Kerry thanked his supporters and his family for their support. He also talked about his earlier conversation in which he congratulated President George W. Bush. "We had a good conversation, and we talked about the danger of division in our country and the need—the desperate need—for unity, for finding the common ground, coming together," he said. "Today I hope that we can begin the healing."

He promised that every vote cast on Tuesday would be counted, but that he was conceding the race because "there won't be enough outstanding votes for us to be able to win Ohio. And therefore we cannot win this election." He stressed that the decision should come from the people and not a long court battle, which is what happened in 2000.

With tears in his eyes, Kerry thanked Americans for their support during a grueling two-year long campaign. "It was a privilege and a gift to spend two years traveling this country, coming to know so many of you," he said. "I wish that I could just wrap you up in my arms and embrace each and every one of you individually all across this nation. I thank you from the bottom of my heart."

President Bush Declares Victory

Soon after Kerry's speech, the victorious President Bush addressed the nation. "America has spoken, and I'm humbled by the trust and the confidence of my fellow citizens," said Bush. "With that trust comes a duty to serve all Americans. And I will do my best to fulfill that duty every day as your president."

White House spokesman Scott McClellan talked to the press about the phone call between the two candidates. "You waged one tough campaign," McClellan quoted the President as saying. "I hope you are proud of the effort you put in. You should be."

Bush is the first U.S. presidential candidate since his father to win with more than 50 percent of the vote, an indicator, White House aides said, that the country is more united now than it was in 2000, when Bush lost the popular vote to Vice President Al Gore.

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B) CNN/Global Office Management Masterclass: Inspirational management [Comment devenir un manager inspirationnel ?]
http://edition.cnn.com/2004/BUSINESS/10/22/masterclass.inspiration/
Management Masterclass

By Christine Hayhurst, Chartered Management Instituteexternal link
Friday, October 22, 2004 Posted: 1459 GMT (2259 HKT)

Q: "My team demands guidance from me -- and rightly so -- but I feel that I'm sometimes too 'technical' with my responses. Should I be, and, how can I be, more inspirational?"

A: A vast amount of research exists to suggest a link between inspirational leadership and the successful performance of many organizations, so you are right to want to move in that direction.

And indeed, a study published this month by the DTI and Chartered Management Institute, called "Inspired Leadership", has shown that most people expect to follow the examples set by their organization's leaders. The single most important factor they want to see in their leaders is inspiration.

But, as you say, making the jump from guide to inspirational leader is not so easy.

First, you need to demonstrate a strong strategic focus. Make sure you concentrate on specific goals rather than adopting a "catch all" approach. After all, if people are looking for guidance they are more likely to respond to leaders who let them know what is important. Give your team a clear sense of direction and it will go a long way to providing a genuine shared vision -- something which everybody can understand and work towards.

And learn from the examples set by the likes of Enron and Parmalat. Everything you do should be based on honesty, openness and the respect of your colleagues and customers. After all, inspiration can come from your attitude to others and it is the relationships you build that can make someone feel motivated.

Too many leaders think people want to hear their views and their experiences. So, take time out to listen to others' ideas, discuss problems and show thanks on a regular basis. It's easy to dismiss ideas if they are not your own because it takes more time to talk to others.

However, remember that your people run your business every day and may have some important knowledge that you could be overlooking. Inspiration doesn't just happen -- you need to win respect first and by taking an interest in others' views you'll be showing that their opinion matters too.

And be prepared to change! If employees don't see you coming up with new, imaginative ideas it's easy to see why they might not bother "thinking outside the box" either. Just look at leaders like Sir Alan Sugar or Richard Branson and you'll see that sometimes it is worth taking calculated risks. You may not get it right every time, but, like these two, you will be seen as someone prepared to try and be a source of inspiration.

It's worrying that a third of people claim to have never worked for an inspirational leader. Don't be a part of that statistic. Bear in mind that there are numerous training programs you could embark on to help develop your leadership skills and ultimately, remember that true inspiration comes from those leaders who can win the trust and respect of their teams.

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C) Slate/Dear Prudence: Sélection [Conseils sur la vie sentimentale et la vie tout court. Cette semaine : Mon petit ami "génial" lit Playboy. / Mon ex fait du chantage pour que je recouche. / Mon futur ex mari refuse de dire à ses parents que nous divorçons. / Ma future belle-mère me rend folle.]
http://slate.msn.com/id/2108198/

Dear Pru,
Here's the situation. I have a wonderful, amazing, almost perfect boyfriend whom I've been with for about a year and a half. We've got a fantastic relationship. There's just one itsy-bitsy problem. Actually, I don't even know if it's a problem, but other people SAY it is. My wonderful boyfriend purchases the occasional Playboy. And I don't care. I even read them. (For the articles. Really!) He kind of makes a half-assed (no pun intended) attempt to hide them. If it's from me or from innocent bystanders, I don't really know. Regardless, I usually manage to stumble across them with no snooping involved. He never gets defensive about it when I find them. It's a nonissue with us. With my friends, however, it's a different story. When I have told them in the past about the Playboys, they are appalled and question how I can allow my boyfriend to disrespect me in such a manner. Doesn't it bother me that he's looking at other women like that? And the Playboys are just a "gateway drug" so to speak. Next thing he's going to be cheating on me with hookers or lap dancers. It's difficult to be indignant when I'm voraciously consuming that which I'm supposed to be railing against. I guess my question is: Is this disrespectful?

—Feminist Who May Have Lost Her Way

Dear Fem,
Oh, please. It's a magazine ... and on the tame side, at that, from what Prudie understands "lad" magazines to be these days. Why are you even telling people his reading habits? In any case, don't let your girlfriends get on your case. Respect—or lack of it—is shown by how a man treats you, not by what he reads. Plus, Prudie once wrote for them (when ice covered the earth), so how bad could it be?

—Prudie, liberatedly

-*-*-*-

Dear Prudence,
I dated a guy for a few months, and it turned out he was a real control freak. He hacked into my e-mail accounts and read all my mail, new and old. In his quest for information, he happened across some incriminating e-mails between me and my old boss, who is still a good friend. Now that I have stopped seeing the control freak, he keeps trying (successfully, usually) to blackmail me into spending time with him by threatening to tell my ex-boss's wife what he found out. He is driving me crazy, and if I owned a gun, I'm afraid I am just p.o.'d enough to use it. Luckily for him, I do not. I cannot live in fear of his using this information against me, but having him tell the wife is out of the question, as that would definitely end their marriage. I don't know what to do. I have a job I couldn't get anywhere else; moving away is not an option. How do I get rid of this creep and get my life back????

—Dressed To Kill

Dear Dress,
The following thoughts are the result of mentioning your situation to a few lawyer chums. What is going on is actually an odd sort of stalking rather than blackmail. Going to law enforcement would not work for you in this case because they do not often get involved in personal matters without threats of physical harm. Your best bet is to play poker and bluff (and hope the jerk is not a Prudie reader). You must go to the boss and explain the situation and then, together, either in the company of a lawyer or a private investigator, meet with the jerk, tell him what he is doing is against the law, and hope he scares easily. You will just have to hope you can fake him out.

—Prudie, conspirationally

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Dear Prudie,
My husband (we'll call him "Chris") and I have been separated for a few months, and I've filed for a divorce. Chris has his own apartment while I live in our house with our children. The problem is that my father-in-law calls every weekend not knowing that Chris no longer lives here. His parents have never liked me very much. In fact, I get the impression that they don't like him very much, either. His mother is always putting him down and making him feel less than adequate. Therefore, Chris doesn't have any desire to talk to his parents at this point. In the past, it's been like pulling teeth just to get him to call them on holidays, etc. I don't really feel like it's my place to be the one to tell them that we're getting a divorce, but I'm tired of his dad calling every weekend and leaving messages. I keep telling Chris that he needs to call them, but he refuses. He doesn't even have a phone in his apartment; he only has a cell phone in case of emergency. I don't know what to do. Should I tell his parents that he has moved out? Should I just let my son tell them? Please help.

—Impatient With the In-Laws

Dear Imp,
You are being impatient with the wrong party. It's Chris who is trying your patience. Tell him he has one week to either call or write his folks, informing them you two are living apart—and that he doesn't have a phone. Tell him that should he not abide by your timetable, you will be forced to tell his father that the phone calls to your house are futile. Do NOT make your little boy the messenger. And do enjoy the positive aspect of separation and divorce: You don't have to "remind" your husband to call his folks, and it is no longer incumbent upon you to deal with the in-laws if you never liked them in the first place. Don't ask how Prudie knows this.

—Prudie, finally

-*-*-
Dear Prudence,
My boyfriend and I have a wonderful relationship. We have lived together now for a little more than a year and plan to marry as soon as we can pay for the wedding and reception that we both want. (This will be a second marriage for both.) Our (my) problem is his mother. While she can be a very sweet lady, she drives me insane. Some days she is bouncing off the walls because she took too many pills; the next all she can do is complain because she took too few. She is a hypochondriac. She tries getting sympathy from her 4-year-old grandson because "Grandma hurts today. Grandma needs a hug. Grandma is going to take some pills." She also compares me to her ex-daughter-in-law. "She could do this and that and the other thing. But that's OK, sweetheart, you can do x, y, and z." And she loves to gossip. If we discuss family, she finds a way to put one of them down. So what can I expect her to say about me? My boyfriend simply doesn't listen to her anymore. He actually tunes out the sound of her voice when she is talking. The woman is nuts. Please, any advice would be greatly appreciated.

—Frustrated

Dear Frus,
Prudie's advice would be to deal with the nutty mother the same way her son does: Tune her out. This is an excellent approach because there is no way you can change her, and it doesn't sound as though she is going anywhere. So make your peace with it: You will have a pill-popping, gossipy, hypochondriacal m-i-l. Believe it or not, things could be worse. Don't ask how Prudie knows this, either.

—Prudie, historically

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THIS
WEEK'S TEXTS

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1) Program on International Policy Attitudes: Bush supporters really ARE stupid [Une enquête démontre que les partisans de Bush sont ignorants, bêtes...]

http://www.pipa.org/OnlineReports/Pres_Election_04/html/new_10_21_04.html
PIPA Report: Bush Supporters Still Believe Iraq Had WMD or Major Program,
Supported al Qaeda

Even after the final report of Charles Duelfer to Congress saying that Iraq did not have a significant WMD [weapons of mass destruction = armes de destruction massive] program, 72% of Bush supporters continue to believe that Iraq had actual WMD (47%) or a major program for developing them (25%). Fifty-six percent assume that most experts believe Iraq had actual WMD and 57% also assume, incorrectly, that Duelfer concluded Iraq had at least a major WMD program. Kerry supporters hold opposite beliefs on all these points.

Similarly, 75% of Bush supporters continue to believe that Iraq was providing substantial support to al Qaeda, and 63% believe that clear evidence of this support has been found. Sixty percent of Bush supporters assume that this is also the conclusion of most experts, and 55% assume, incorrectly, that this was the conclusion of the 9/11 Commission. Here again, large majorities of Kerry supporters have exactly opposite perceptions.

These are some of the findings of a new study of the differing perceptions of Bush and Kerry supporters, conducted by the Program on International Policy Attitudes and Knowledge Networks, based on polls conducted in September and October.

Steven Kull, director of PIPA, comments, "One of the reasons that Bush supporters have these beliefs is that they perceive the Bush administration confirming them. Interestingly, this is one point on which Bush and Kerry supporters agree." Eighty-two percent of Bush supporters perceive the Bush administration as saying that Iraq had WMD (63%) or that Iraq had a major WMD program (19%). Likewise, 75% say that the Bush administration is saying Iraq was providing substantial support to al Qaeda. Equally large majorities of Kerry supporters hear the Bush administration expressing these views--73% say the Bush administration is saying Iraq had WMD (11% a major program) and 74% that Iraq was substantially supporting al Qaeda.

Steven Kull adds, "Another reason that Bush supporters may hold to these beliefs is that they have not accepted the idea that it does not matter whether Iraq had WMD or supported al Qaeda. Here too they are in agreement with Kerry supporters." Asked whether the US should have gone to war with Iraq if US intelligence had concluded that Iraq was not making WMD or providing support to al Qaeda, 58% of Bush supporters said the US should not have, and 61% assume that in this case the President would not have. Kull continues, "To support the president and to accept that he took the US to war based on mistaken assumptions likely creates substantial cognitive dissonance, and leads Bush supporters to suppress awareness of unsettling information about prewar Iraq."

This tendency of Bush supporters to ignore dissonant information extends to other realms as well. Despite an abundance of evidence--including polls conducted by Gallup International in 38 countries, and more recently by a consortium of leading newspapers in 10 major countries--only 31% of Bush supporters recognize that the majority of people in the world oppose the US having gone to war with Iraq. Forty-two percent assume that views are evenly divided, and 26% assume that the majority approves. Among Kerry supporters, 74% assume that the majority of the world is opposed.

Similarly, 57% of Bush supporters assume that the majority of people in the world would favor Bush's reelection; 33% assumed that views are evenly divided and only 9% assumed that Kerry would be preferred. A recent poll by GlobeScan and PIPA of 35 of the major countries around the world found that in 30, a majority or plurality favored Kerry, while in just 3 Bush was favored. On average, Kerry was preferred more than two to one.

Bush supporters also have numerous misperceptions about Bush's international policy positions. Majorities incorrectly assume that Bush supports multilateral approaches to various international issues--the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (69%), the treaty banning land mines (72%)--and for addressing the problem of global warming: 51% incorrectly assume he favors US participation in the Kyoto treaty. After he denounced the International Criminal Court in the debates, the perception that he favored it dropped from 66%, but still 53% continue to believe that he favors it. An overwhelming 74% incorrectly assumes that he favors including labor and environmental standards in trade agreements. In all these cases, majorities of Bush supporters favor the positions they impute to Bush. Kerry supporters are much more accurate in their perceptions of his positions on these issues.

"The roots of the Bush supporters' resistance to information," according to Steven Kull, "very likely lie in the traumatic experience of 9/11 and equally in the near pitch-perfect leadership that President Bush showed in its immediate wake. This appears to have created a powerful bond between Bush and his supporters--and an idealized image of the President that makes it difficult for his supporters to imagine that he could have made incorrect judgments before the war, that world public opinion could be critical of his policies or that the President could hold foreign policy positions that are at odds with his supporters."

The polls were conducted October 12-18 and September 3-7 and 8-12 with samples of 968, 798 and 959 respondents, respectively. Margins of error were 3.2 to 4% in the first and third surveys and 3.5% on September 3-7. The poll was fielded by Knowledge Networks using its nationwide panel, which is randomly selected from the entire adult population and subsequently provided internet access. For more information about this methodology, go to www.knowledgenetworks.com/ganp.

Funding for this research was provided by the Rockefeller Brothers

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2) CNN: Stranger moves in, redecorates while woman's on vacation [Alors qu'une femme est en vacances, une inconnue squatte chez elle et refait même la déco.]
http://edition.cnn.com/2004/US/10/22/stranger.in.house.ap/

Stranger moves in, redecorates while woman's on vacation
Saturday, October 23, 2004 Posted: 0045 GMT (0845 HKT)

DOUGLASVILLE, Georgia (AP) -- A woman came home from vacation to find a stranger living there, wearing her clothes, changing utilities into her name and even ripping out carpet and repainting a room she didn't like, authorities said. Douglas County authorities say they can't explain why Beverly Valentine, 54, broke into an empty home and started acting like it was her own.

During the 21/2 weeks the owner, Beverly Mitchell, was on vacation in Greece, Valentine allegedly redecorated the ranch home, ripping up carpet and taking down the owner's pictures and replacing them with her own. Mitchell was a complete unknown to Valentine, said Chief Sheriff's Deputy Stan Copeland. He said he had no idea how Valentine knew Mitchell was gone. "In 28 years, I've never seen something this strange," Copeland said.

Valentine was being held in Douglas County Jail on a $25,000 bond, Copeland said. If convicted, she could face one to 20 years in prison. Copeland said Friday that he believed Valentine did not have a lawyer.

The case came to light when Mitchell, who lived alone, returned home October 4 to find the lights on and a strange car parked in the driveway. Mitchell called police, who went in and found Valentine, who at first pretended she was renting the home. Later, Copeland said, she admitted she broke into the house with a shovel and was squatting there. She was charged with burglary.

Authorities found a gun and $23,000 worth of Mitchell's jewelry in Valentine's car. Valentine had the electricity switched over to her name and moved in a washer and dryer and her dog. Copeland said she was even wearing some of Mitchell's clothes.

"There's a lot of people saying, 'What?"' Copeland said. Valentine was asked what to do with the washer and dryer she moved in, and Valentine said she didn't care, so police will leave it up to Mitchell what to do with them, Copeland said.

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3) Slate: The New de Tocquevilles [Les Français tentent de comprendre les Etat-Unis.]
http://slate.msn.com/id/2108796/

The New de Tocquevilles: The French are just trying to understand.
By Elisabeth Eaves
Posted Thursday, Oct. 28, 2004, at 10:33 AM PT

America is a shark. Full of religious zealots. Who are deeply divided against themselves.

These are just a few descriptions of the United States gleaned from just-released French books devoted to deciphering and explaining the other red, white, and blue. Parisian editors are dining out on a new subgenre that includes tirades, serious academic tomes, election-timed quickies by celebrity journalists, and even a novel, Frenchy, about a Parisian living in Texas when the United States invaded Iraq.

Clotaire Rapaille is a U.S.-based, French-born marketing consultant who specializes in selling across cultures. He has advised Denmark-based Lego that Americans do not read instructions and taught French cheese-makers that Americans prefer their cheese "scientifically dead." Rapaille told me that the last French publishing boomlet had a self-critical tendency: "France is in decline, France is becoming irrelevant. This is what I saw last year." As a former psychoanalyst, he has an explanation for the new phenomenon: "It's transference. The French have transferred their psychology of decline to America, so they feel better," he said. "Now they have a mission: They are going to defend mankind against the United States."

I counted at least 17 French books published this year on the United States or relations with it, most since September. Add to that a handful of books from 2003, plus dozens of U.S. titles in translation—Kitty Kelley, Graydon Carter, and Bill Clinton are all here—and you can find entire bookstore tables devoted to decoding the country that rebaptized frites as frites de la liberté. New titles vie for attention with copies of the genre's prototype, which some would say has yet to be improved upon: Democracy in America, by Alexis de Tocqueville. In 1835 he brought news of the New World back to the old, with prescient observations like this one on local government: "The people wield immense influence over their magistrates and often carry their desires into execution without intermediaries."

So, just what is out there now, and what does it say?

The protagonist in Frenchy, who runs a French food store, suffers prolific insults, and a veteran urinates in his garden. Still, one of his nicer neighbors tells him that America "has nothing to do with those guys in Washington." The review in Le Figaro said the novel was "as valuable as the best courses in international relations at the most prestigious universities."

You can't beat The Shark and the Seagull, by former Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin, for the author's way with metaphor. It's about the rotten state of trans-Atlantic relations. (I'll let readers guess which country is which in the book's title.) The takeaway, though, isn't clear. The shark refuses to be halted. The seagull listens. They must reconcile their values, which will save the world. Or something like that.

Some of the other new works include France Against the Empire, Empire of Chaos, The Emperor of the White House, Imperial America, The Good Fortune of Not Being American, and Democracy With an Obscene Face. The last, by Jacques Vergès, a lawyer who has volunteered to defend Saddam Hussein, is illustrated with photographs of prisoner abuse inside Abu Ghraib.

Titles notwithstanding, the new books are not all polemics. Anti-Americanism is certainly present in France, but the chattering classes are making a serious attempt to understand both the United States and the Franco-U.S. dynamic. Earnest broadcasters ask the new Americologists questions like, "Do we hate Americans because we try to imitate them?"

Guillaume Parmentier, director of the French Center on the United States and editor of The United States Today: Shock and Change, says there are two major explanatory fads afoot in the attempt to understand U.S. behavior: It's all about the neocons, and it's all about religion.

With few exceptions, French writers "superbly ignored" neoconservatism for years, Parmentier told me—then suddenly noticed it about 18 months ago. "Now because of the Bush administration, many French observers—guys who have no interest in the facts, but who are interested in big ideas—have discovered neoconservatives and see them all over the place. They call Cheney and Rumsfeld neoconservatives, which is totally absurd," Parmentier said.

While dismissive of many of the new books, Parmentier has high praise for one, Messianic America: The Wars of the Neoconservatives, by Le Monde journalists Alain Frachon and Daniel Vernet. It's a full history of the neocons, from their hatchery among the Democratic left in New York to their post-9/11 influence on the presidency. The publisher's blurb explains that neoconservatives think America is the embodiment of good and that it "can assure its own security and remain true to its moral mission only by exporting democracy, by force if necessary." French readers may acquire a more sophisticated understanding of U.S. foreign policy than many an American liberal.

As for the second fad, religion, authors like Guy Sorman treat it as paramount. The author of Made in USA focuses on the fact that a full 80 percent of Americans say they believe in God. Americans are "a mystical people," he says, and he has a theory that all religions in America are converging into one as their modes of worship become more and more alike.

A third theme emerges in many of the books: It's all about Sept. 11. Except, while there is general agreement that the United States must have been traumatized and profoundly changed by the terrorist attacks, no one seems to be sure exactly how. Indeed, Sorman went looking for evidence of a transformation and found that "American society has remained self-centered, too busy to fuse into a single nation capable of taking an interest in faraway cultures. No more books on Islam are sold, no more foreign films seen than before the attacks; students are not moving any faster toward learning foreign languages."

Can Americans learn anything from foreign anthropologists studying their own? Sorman says the point is moot. He has "no illusion" that he could be influential in the United States—unless he emigrated. "No one is interested in what foreigners have to say, not liberals or conservatives," he said. "The beliefs of Americans are so profound, they are so convinced that they are building a new civilization, with a universal appeal, that the comments from outside are insignificant."

That may be true. But while only hindsight will tell if Sorman and the rest are truly Tocquevillian, I think this passage from Made in USA will hold up for a long time to come:

[In America] it's taken for granted that a community left to its own devices will spontaneously organize, without waiting for higher authorities to do it. This democratic ideal, shaped by the history of the United States, can lead American governments, in their foreign interventions, to expect the same of other societies. Sometimes in vain.

Elisabeth Eaves is the author of Bare.

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4) CNN/Reuters: U.S. tomato shortage hits restaurants [Les restos américains pâtissent d'un manque de tomates.]
http://money.cnn.com/2004/10/22/news/funny/tomatoe_shortage.reu

U.S. tomato shortage hits restaurants: Restaurant chains tweak menus and start 'rolling blackouts' after hurricanes double tomato price.
October 22, 2004: 6:56 PM EDT

LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - U.S. restaurants are scrambling to find menu alternatives to dishes requiring tomatoes as severe weather in Florida and California have hampered crops and caused prices to more than double.

Restaurant chains like Wendy's International Inc. (Research) and Olive Garden parent Darden Restaurants Inc., which need large quantities of tomatoes to supply their outlets, are among those making changes to combat the shortage. Wendy's canceled plans to advertise its Chicken Temptations sandwiches, which are each topped with a slice of tomato. The Dublin, Ohio-based chain said the last-minute switch to promote its Kids Meal and Homestyle Chicken Strips would contribute to a profit shortfall this quarter.

Darden (Research), which also owns the Red Lobster chain, is modifying recipes and using alternative varieties and sizes of tomatoes until supplies return to normal, spokesman Mike Bernstein said. McDonald's Corp.'s (Research) Mexican-style Chipotle chain is also considering alternatives such as salsa recipes that are less dependent on tomatoes, spokesman Chris Arnold said. The chain, which has not made any decisions yet, could also implement what Arnold called "rolling blackouts," where certain markets may not have tomato salsa one day a week.

Unlike Wendy's, Burger King Corp. said it would proceed with plans to promote its TenderCrips chicken sandwiches, which include tomato slices. Burger King's senior director of product marketing, Carlos Ribas, said the chain will tackle the problem on a region-by-region basis, and will inform customers with signs in restaurants when there are no tomatoes.

Hurricanes drive prices up 167 percent

Hurricanes including Charley and Francis, which hit Florida in August and September, forced many of the state's tomato farmers to replant crops that were expected to be sold in November and December, according to Gary Lucier, an economist with the U.S. Department of Agriculture. As a result, tomato prices in October have risen 167 percent to about $15 for a 25-pound box, Lucier said.

To make matters worse, heavy rain in California this week flooded the state's tomato crops, halting harvests and threatening to put the brakes on a deal, which began last Saturday, for California growers to supply McDonald's restaurants in Japan. "I have one supplier that's trying to continue but I have two others that can't supply them at all," said Ed Beckman, president of the California Tomato Commission, a trade group for tomato farmers.

Officials for McDonald's in Japan could not immediately be reached for comment.

Small restaurant owners, like Gerardo Cea of Cafe Prima Pasta in Miami Beach, are also being hard-hit as costs have escalated and the quality of tomato shipments has plummeted. "Over 80 percent of our items have tomato sauce," said Cea, who added that he would not raise prices on menu items for fear of driving away customers. "I guess we are going to spend more money for tomatoes."

But while consumers may not feel the brunt of the tomato shortage while dining out, they are certain to be paying more in supermarkets. "We are seeing prices more than double on some products," said Patti Councill, a spokeswoman forGreat Atlantic & Pacific Tea Co. (Research) Inc., which operates 630 A&P, Food Emporium, Waldbaum's and Farmer Jack grocery stores.

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5) The Economist: Mobile 3G telecoms [La réalité de la téléphonie mobile de la 3ème génération correspond-elle aux rêves ?]
http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=3150731

Mobile 3G telecoms: Vision, meet reality
Sep 2nd 2004

After years of delay, third-generation (3G) mobile-phone networks are finally being switched on. How will the reality compare with the original vision?

THE biggest ever gamble on the introduction of a new technology; an attempt to maintain growth in a maturing industry; or an industrial-policy fiasco? The introduction of “third-generation” (3G) mobile-phone networks around the world is all these things and more. In 2000, at the height of the dotcom boom, mobile operators around the world, but mainly in Europe, paid a total of €109 billion (then $125 billion) for licences to build and operate 3G networks, which offer higher performance and more capacity than existing second-generation (2G) networks. In part, the mobile operators were victims of their own hype. A report that year from the International Telecommunication Union, the industry's standards body, gives a sense of the high hopes for 3G:

The device will function as a phone, a computer, a television, a pager, a videoconferencing centre, a newspaper, a diary and even a credit card...it will support not only voice communications but also real-time video and full-scale multimedia. It will automatically search the internet for relevant news and information on pre-selected subjects, book your next holiday for you online and download a bedtime story for your child, complete with moving pictures. It will even be able to pay for goods when you shop via wireless electronic funds transfer. In short, the new mobile handset will become the single, indispensable “life tool”, carried everywhere by everyone, just like a wallet or purse is today.

Dotcom mania aside, the industry had concluded that 3G networks would make possible new services to provide growth as its core business, voice telephony, matured. As the proportion of people with mobile phones has increased—it now exceeds 85% in much of the rich world—the average revenue per user (ARPU), a key industry metric, has levelled off. This is because the most valuable subscribers were the first to buy mobile phones; later adopters make fewer calls and spend much less. With subscriber numbers reaching saturation, at least in the rich world, the industry began casting around for new sources of growth, and fancy services such as video and internet access seemed the most promising prospects. Hence the appeal of 3G.

Even so, forking out €109 billion for 3G licences—plus roughly the same again between 2001 and 2007 to build the actual networks, according to predictions from iSuppli, a market-research firm—was an enormous gamble, arguably the biggest in business history. But in many cases operators had no choice. Several European countries held auctions for their 3G licences in which operators bid huge sums: in Britain and Germany, for example, operators ended up paying around €8 billion for each 3G licence. Why? Because with their 2G networks filling up, and with no additional 2G capacity on offer from regulators, operators felt compelled to buy 3G licences to ensure scope for future growth. Andrew Cole of A.T. Kearney, a consultancy, remembers when a client who was taking part in the auction received the order to “win the licence no matter what”. The €109 billion was, in effect, a tax on the right to continue to do business. Few firms were brave enough to refuse to pay up.

So the 3G adventure got off to a bad start in Europe by nearly bankrupting the industry. Since 2000 most operators have written down the value of their 3G licences. Some even handed the licences back to the governments from which they bought them, rather than commit themselves to building expensive new 3G networks within strict time limits. (Reselling the licences was forbidden.) The whole episode is now something the industry would rather forget. “The spectrum auction is a nightmare the operators don't want to remember,” says Mr Cole. “I haven't heard it mentioned in a long time.”

Ready, steady, flop!

The pioneering launch of 3G services at the end of 2001 in Japan and South Korea, the world's two most advanced mobile markets, did little to lighten the mood. In both countries, operators were using 3G technologies different from the W-CDMA standard (which is also known as UMTS) being adopted in Europe. An unproven technology, W-CDMA was plagued by teething troubles: base-stations and handsets from different vendors would not work together reliably, and early handsets were bulky and temperamental. Operators postponed the launch of 3G services from 2002 to 2003 and then to 2004, though a handful chose to launch sometimes shaky 3G services earlier.

Yet now, at last, the 3G bandwagon is starting to roll. According to figures from Deutsche Bank, there were 16 commercial 3G networks worldwide at the beginning of the year, and there will be around 60 by the end of the year (see chart 1). Matti Alahuhta, head of strategy at Nokia, the world's largest handset-maker, says the second half of 2004 will be seen as “the starting point for the global acceleration of 3G”. Nokia and other handset-makers have high hopes for the Christmas market. The early, brick-like W-CDMA handsets have given way to much smaller, sleeker models. In Japan and Korea, sales of 3G handsets are booming. Even in America, that wireless laggard, 3G services have been launched in several cities, and the country's largest operators have committed themselves to building 3G networks.

Having swung too far towards pessimism, the industry is now becoming cautiously optimistic about 3G, says Tony Thornley, the president of Qualcomm, the firm that pioneered the technology that underpins all of the various technological flavours of 3G. Qualcomm has announced that it is having trouble meeting demand for W-CDMA radio chips. “As we get very near to seeing these things become a reality, we become more optimistic about what 3G can deliver,” says Peter Bamford of Vodafone, the world's largest mobile operator. So now that it is finally happening, how does the reality of 3G stack up against the original vision?

Less data, more voice

That depends upon whom you ask. Mr Bamford, for example, denies that there has been any downgrading of the original vision. But he is at the most optimistic end of the spectrum, a view reflected in Vodafone's reluctance to write down the value of its 3G licences. Most observers agree that there has been a shift in expectations about how 3G networks will be used, away from video and other data services and towards traditional voice calling.

“Three years ago, everyone was talking about video-telephony,” says Mike Thelander of Signals Research Group, a consultancy. But while video-telephony sounds cool, the evidence from early 3G launches in Japan, South Korea, Britain and Italy is that hardly anybody uses it. Market research suggests that women are particularly reluctant to adopt it, says Mr Cole. Nokia's first mainstream 3G handset, the 7600, does not even support video calling, but nobody seems to mind.

Nor have the high hopes for data services been fulfilled—so far, at least. The idea was to encourage consumers to adopt data services on 2G phones, paving the way for fancier services on 3G phones. But while text-messaging is hugely popular, with over a billion messages sent daily worldwide, other forms of wireless data such as photo messaging, news updates, and music and game downloads have proved much less popular with consumers in most countries—Japan and South Korea are notable exceptions.

Such services “are still embryonic, but are going to be very important,” insists Mr Cole. Today's advanced handsets, he notes, are disrupting many industries simultaneously, including photography, music and gaming. The handset is slowly coming to be seen as “the Swiss Army knife of life services”. But the changes will take years to play out, even though they are happening at breakneck speed. Mr Bamford likens the transformation in mobile phones over the past five years to the evolution of television over the past 40 years, from crude black-and-white to hundreds of digital channels in colour. “To expect customers to snap into this in five minutes is just unrealistic,” he says.

Enthusiasm for data is growing, just not very fast: data services now account for 16.3% of Vodafone's worldwide revenues, for example, up from 15% a year ago. So hopes of a breakthrough in mobile-data usage still persist. At the moment, most optimism surrounds the prospects for music downloads to mobile phones (the most advanced models of which can now double as portable music players). Downloading ringtones is already popular, so downloading entire tracks—something that is only really practical using a 3G network—is the next logical step. Motorola, the world's second-largest handset-maker, has just done a deal with Apple, whose iTunes Music Store dominates the market for legal music downloads. And Nokia has just done a similar deal with LoudEye, another online music store. But it is still too early to tell whether this will turn into a mass market and, if it does, whether it will prove profitable for operators.

Greater emphasis is being placed instead on 3G's ability to deliver cheap voice calls—for as well as being able to support faster data downloads than 2G networks, 3G networks provide vast amounts of voice capacity (typically three times as much as a 2G network) at a lower price (typically a quarter of the cost per minute). As a result, says Bob House, an analyst at Adventis, “operators' sights are now much more firmly trained on displacing voice from fixed networks.”

By offering large bundles, or “buckets” of minutes as part of their monthly tariffs, operators hope to encourage subscribers to use their mobile phones instead of fixed-line phones, and even to “cut the cord” and get rid of their fixed-line phones altogether—something that is already happening, particularly among young people, in some parts of the world. In America, for example, where large bundles are commonplace, subscribers talk on their phones for 700 minutes per month on average, compared with 100 minutes per month in Europe, where call charges are much higher, notes Mark Heath of Analysys, a consultancy. Since 3G networks offer voice capacity at a quarter of the cost of 2G networks, it ought to be possible for operators to offer larger bundles at a lower price per minute and still make money.

But operators must price their bundles carefully, and distinguish between peak-time and off-peak minutes, to avoid getting caught out. Offering generous bundle deals may, for example, cannibalise revenues from their most valuable customers, who will quickly switch to a better deal. Operators also want to avoid having to spend money adding expensive base-stations to the busiest parts of their networks to handle peak load. And, of course, they want to avoid a price war. Although everyone agrees that the advent of 3G will cause the price of voice calls to fall and margins to decline, operators are in no hurry to cut their prices before they have to.

But there are signs that Hutchison 3G, a new operator that has launched 3G services in several European countries under the “3” brand, is already leading the European market down this path, notes Mr Thelander: in some cases, 3 offers voice calls for a fifth of the price of its rivals. Further pressure on pricing, argues João Baptista of Mercer Management Consulting, will come as fixed-line operators combat the flight of voice traffic to mobile with ultra-low-cost telephony services based on “voice over internet protocol” (VOIP) technology. With price cuts, he says, “someone starts, and then you can't stop it.”

It would be a great irony if, after years of hype about data services, the “killer application” for 3G turned out to be boring old voice calls. In truth, however, nobody talks about killer apps any more. This reflects the realisation that 3G allows operators to offer lots of new services—music downloads, cheap voice calls, wireless broadband access to laptops—but that the appeal of these services will vary widely from one group of customers to another.

“Unlike traditional voice service, the adoption of 3G services is very much customer-segment specific,” says Su-Yen Wong of Mercer. The lesson from Japan and South Korea, she says, is that “certain customer segments are interested in video, but others are not—some go for games, others for traffic updates.” The challenge for 3G operators, she says, is to understand the appeal of different services to different types of customer.

The challenge of segmentation

That will require careful market segmentation. “3G gives you more scope, and segmentation broadly becomes more important,” says Mr Bamford. The example of KTF, a South Korean operator, is instructive. It offers a service called Bigi Kiri to 13-18-year-olds (with unlimited text messaging between subscribers). Na, its brand for 18-25-year-old students, includes free cinema tickets and internet access at 68 universities; and Drama, another brand, caters to women. Other operators in South Korea and Japan do similar things.

The question for operators, says Mr Cole, is whether they can successfully appeal to all segments. At the moment, most operators have bland, generic brands that are intended to appeal to as broad a cross-section of the public as possible. But now they must decide whether to create sub-brands, or partner with other firms who are better able to appeal to specific demographic groups. There are already signs of this happening in many parts of the world as companies set themselves up as “mobile virtual network operators” (MVNOs).

Rather than build its own network, an MVNO teams up with an existing operator, and resells access to the operator's mobile network under its own brand. By far the best example is Virgin Mobile, an MVNO that resells airtime on T-Mobile's network in Britain, and Sprint's in America, to teenagers. The appeal for operators is that MVNOs enable them to reach out more effectively to customers. There has recently been a flurry of activity, with established brands including Tesco, 7-Eleven and MTV setting up as MVNOs.

Much of this activity has been prompted by the growing awareness that MVNOs are likely to have an important role in generating enough voice and data traffic to fill up those expensive new 3G networks. Since 3G phones can deliver graphics, music and video, large media firms, such as Disney, are actively investigating becoming MVNOs. Indeed, media giants might be more effective at driving uptake of data services than mobile operators, which are struggling to transform themselves from boring, technology-driven utilities into sexy consumer brands.

That in turn, suggests Mr Baptista, poses a long-term question for 3G operators: are they primarily network operators, or providers of services to consumers? No doubt some operators, with strong brands, will be able to hold their own against the likes of Disney. But second-tier operators might choose to focus on running a wholesale business, selling network capacity to others.

The calculations being made about the prospects for 3G are further complicated by the fact that the technology is still evolving, making new services possible. As things stand, the W-CDMA technology being adopted in much of the world has a maximum data-transfer rate of 384 kilobits per second. The rival 3G technology, called CDMA2000-1xEV-DO, which is already deployed in South Korea, Japan and parts of America, can deliver higher speeds of up to 2.4 megabits per second. In markets (such as Japan and America) where the two technologies compete side by side, W-CDMA operators are anxiously waiting for an upgraded version of the technology, called HSDPA, which will be faster still and will make its debut in Japan next year.

Faster, better, sooner?

Never mind what all those letters stand for: the point is that as its speed and efficiency improves, 3G technology may, in some markets, start to compete with fixed broadband connections. Other, more obscure flavours of 3G technology, such as TDD-CDMA (again, never mind) and CDMA450 can also be used in this way. In New Zealand, Woosh Wireless is offering wireless broadband service using TDD-CDMA, while backers of CDMA450 point to its unusually long range, which makes it ideal for providing broadband in rural areas, as well as telephony. This opens up yet another new market for 3G operators.

3G is evolving in other ways, too. In 2003, SK, South Korea's leading mobile operator, launched a video-on-demand service over its 3G network. Subscribers paid a monthly fee of 20,000 won ($17) for access, and could then have movies beamed to their phones (while commuting, for example) for 1,000 won each. The service proved so popular that the 3G network could not cope, and SK had to raise its prices dramatically, causing demand to collapse. But evidently video does appeal to 3G subscribers, provided it is cheap enough. So SK has now developed a hybrid satellite-cellular system. New handsets, to be launched this month, will have built-in satellite-TV receivers, offering 11 video and 25 audio channels. Meanwhile, both of the main 3G standards are being updated to allow for more efficient video broadcasts to handsets. Again, this could open new markets for 3G operators.

All of this makes it very difficult to answer the question of whether 3G will succeed, for 3G is a range of technologies that makes possible all kinds of new services. In Europe, 3G's main impact may simply be cheaper voice calls; in America, 3G may have most appeal to road warriors who want broadband access wherever they are; in the developing world, 3G could help to extend telephony and internet access into rural areas; and in South Korea and Japan, 3G might even—shock, horror—live up to the original lofty vision for the technology. The switching on of 3G networks around the world is not the end of the saga; the story continues to unfold.

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6) St Petersburg [FL] Times: Arrest made in attack over cap [Les attributs des équipes sportives suscitent des réponses violentes. Comme quoi il n'y a pas que l'OM et la PSG...]
http://www.sptimes.com/2004/11/02/Northpinellas/Arrest_made_in_attack.shtml

Arrest made in attack over cap

A Clearwater man is charged with aggravated assault after allegedly smashing a Red Sox fan's windshield.

By CHRIS TISCH, Times Staff Writer
Published November 2, 2004

LARGO - Police have arrested a New York Yankees fan on a charge of assaulting a man wearing a Boston Red Sox cap outside a Largo night club. Richard F. Padilla, 31, of Clearwater was arrested Friday on an aggravated assault charge. He was released from the Pinellas County Jail the next day on $500 bail.

The incident occurred in the early morning hours of Oct. 21, just hours after the Red Sox defeated the Yankees in Game 7 of the American League Championship Series. Largo resident William Grant, 29, and his roommate went into the Country Club Lounge to talk to a bartender. Grant, who was wearing a Red Sox cap, said he noticed two men staring at him, police reports state.

When Grant and his roommate left, the two men followed. One of the men ordered Grant to throw his hat on the ground and spit on it. Grant refused. Grant said the man then grabbed a hammer out of a truck and again ordered him to toss the hat and spit on it. Grant threw the hat to the ground, but refused to spit on it.

His roommate then yelled at the man to leave them alone, but the man ran to their car and smashed the window with the hammer, Grant told police. The Yankees fan took off before Grant could get a tag number. But police found that either the attacker or his friend had used a credit card to pay their bar bill. Using that information, police identified Padilla as a suspect. When confronted by detectives, Padilla said Grant and his roommate were teasing him and his friend about the Yankees loss. "(Padilla) said it was the Boston fans who were berating him," said Detective Scott Gore.

Grant has said he did not provoke the attack. But police said Padilla admitted to grabbing the hammer and swinging it around. He told police he broke the window with his palm, though investigators could find no injury on his hand, Gore said.

"Words alone don't constitute a crime," Gore said. "He took it to the next step by getting a hammer and kind of swinging it around."
[Last modified November 2, 2004, 00:33:22]

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7) Lucent: Bio of Pat Russo
http://www.lucent.com/corpinfo/leaders.html

Patricia F. Russo is chairman and chief executive officer of Lucent Technologies, one of the largest suppliers of communications hardware, software and services to the world's communications service providers.

Russo was one of the founding executives who helped launch Lucent in 1996 and has spent 20 years of her career managing some of Lucent's and AT&T's largest divisions and most critical corporate functions.

Before returning to Lucent in January 2002, Russo served as president and chief operating officer of Eastman Kodak Company, overseeing the day-to-day operations of Kodak's operating divisions. Prior to this appointment, Russo was chairman of the board of Avaya Inc., one of the world's leading enterprise communications businesses.

From 1999 to 2000, she served as executive vice president of Lucent's Service Provider Networks Group and had responsibility for $24 billion in sales, distribution, installation and development of products and systems for Lucent's service provider customers worldwide.

Russo also served as executive vice president, Corporate Operations at Lucent from 1997 through 1999. She was responsible for the executive management and oversight of strategy and business development as well as human resources development, public relations, investor relations, advertising, government affairs, global procurement and real estate services.

From 1992 through 1996, Ms. Russo was president of AT&T's Business Communications Systems unit (now Avaya Inc.). She led the business through a successful restructuring and financial turnaround, making it the second largest global business when Lucent was spun off from AT&T. Ms. Russo led the global sales and service operations in Business Communications Systems before becoming president.

Prior to 1992, Ms. Russo held key management and executive positions throughout AT&T in strategic planning, marketing, human resources and operations. Before joining AT&T in 1981, she spent eight years in sales and marketing at IBM.

Ms. Russo is a member of the board of Lucent Technologies, Schering-Plough Corporation and Georgetown University. She is a member of the Network Reliability Interoperability Council, and in April 2003 was appointed by President George W. Bush to the National Security Telecommunications Advisory Committee. Also in April 2003, Governor James McGreevey appointed her to the New Jersey Commission on Jobs Growth and Economic Development.

She received her undergraduate degree from Georgetown University and completed the Advanced Management Program at Harvard University in 1989. She has received an Honorary Doctorate of Engineering from Stevens Institute of Technology as well as an Honorary Doctorate in Entrepreneurial Studies from Columbia College in South Carolina.

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